Esteban Ocon's Haas tenure looks set to end after one season, with Ferrari protégé Rafael Camara emerging as the favorite for 2027. The business case is straightforward: Ocon brings no title sponsorship, and if seating a Ferrari academy driver means discounted parts from Maranello, Haas has every reason to make the swap.
Camara's F2 campaign has kept him visible, and his corporate backing paired with Brazilian fan spending power makes him a more attractive package than a Mercedes journeyman entering his mid-thirties. Ocon's Hungary victory hasn't shifted the calculus—he's been matched closely by rookie Oliver Bearman, and Haas isn't chasing wins. They need cost control and incremental gains.
Performance still matters, but so does the balance sheet. Haas isn't landing Tsolov, Mini, or Dunne, and Camara checks the boxes. If Ocon walks, don't expect Haas to chase him.
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